Key events
Fritz has been getting closer to a big breakthrough – he made last year’s US Open final, beating Alexander Zverev en route, and he gave Alcaraz trouble in the semis at this year’s Wimbledon. And though he’s yet to beat one of the greats on the big occasion, he’ll feel he’s in good enough for so to do. He has the balls and is preparing to serve. Ready … play.
Out comes Fritz, followed by Alcaraz. The crowds so far have been great, and who doesn’t want to spend a weekday afternoon enjoying genius?
“It’s pretty fast,” Fritz said of the court after his first match, also noting that there’s some altitude, so the ball flies through the air quicker, aspects which help his flat backhand. If he hits it cross-court, he might find it coming back even harder, but if he can sent it down the line, it might work well for him.
If Alcaraz wins today, he’ll be one win against Musetti away from ending the year as world no 1. If he loses, a win in his final match will leave Sinner needing him to lose the semi, while winning the title as an undefeated champion; if loses both matches, Sinner will merely need to lift the trophy. Which would be pretty likely, given every tournament both have entered this season, one has won.
The problem Fritz has is he too has weaknesses. I’d expect Alcaraz to target his backhand while putting him on the bike, moving him side to side and into the net so he can’t plant feet and thwack.
So how does Fritz win today? Well, patience is important: Alcaraz isn’t metronomic like Sinner, and loses his serve more often; Fritz needn’t force things, but when the opportunities arise, he has to be ready. Usually, he’d want to shorten points, but in this one he may hope to lengthen them, hitting full and straight to deny angles and force Alcaraz to seek winners.
Otherwise, he has to attack the serve – first and second – and the backhand, then hope for an off-day.
Alcaraz leads Fritz 4-1 in the head-to-head … but Fritz’s one win came not that long ago, in September, and it was also on an indoor hard court. I guess we might say it came two weeks after the US Open final, so chances are, its champion has been more focused, but if helps convince Fritz he can win this afternoon, it doesn’t matter.
Preamble
It’s not easy being a tenniser. To be fit enough to chase like mad for five hours, delivering skills that demand precision and power, while living life on the road away from family and friends, is a confronting existence.
The reward, though, for those at the top, is occasions such as this – and yet, for Taylor Fritz, they come freighted with frustration: he’s close to the top of the game, so close he can taste the glory, and yet it looks unlikely ever to be his. He played very nicely indeed in beating Lorenzo Musetti on Sunday, but would that level be enough to see off Carlos Alcaraz? Probably not.
And yet. Like Felix Auger-Aliassime last evening, if he serves well, he can stick in sets, and if he can stick in sets, he can reduce them to a tiebreak point here and there, and if he can reduce them to a tiebreak point here and there, if he produces his best tennis during them, or if Alcaraz errs, that’s a lot of ifs, but he can get this done. Perhaps.
Either way, though, it’s going to be a lot of fun watching him try, just as it’s always a lot of fun watching Alcaraz watching people try. And if there’s a better way of spending a Tuesday afternoon, I’m yet to discover it.
Play: 1pm GMT
